Two numbers, released months apart by the same regulator, describe two sides of the same market. In late 2025, the Securities and Exchange Board of India reported that roughly 91 percent of individual futures and options traders lost money in FY25, with aggregate net losses of about Rs 1,05,603 crore. A year later, its FY26 update showed losses easing slightly to about Rs 91,685 crore, but the share of traders losing money still sat at close to 88 percent, even as the number of active individual F&O traders fell by about 20 percent, from 98.1 lakh to 78.6 lakh.
At the same time, the number of Indians entering the stock market has kept climbing. Total demat accounts in the country crossed 23 crore by mid-2026, and NSE unique client codes went past 26 crore in June 2026. More people are showing up to invest. Fewer of them, proportionally, appear willing to keep guessing their way through it.
Read together, these numbers point to a quieter, less discussed shift beneath the headlines about IPO booms and index levels: a growing preference among retail investors for rule-based methods, built around screening and predefined criteria, over discretionary, instinct-led trading.
The cost of guessing, in the regulator's own data
SEBI's studies on individual F&O traders are among the most detailed data sets available on how retail India actually performs when trading. The pattern across four consecutive years of analysis has been strikingly consistent.
SEBI also found that among traders who lost money for two consecutive years and kept trading, close to 90 percent lost again the following year. In other words, losses were not concentrated among a handful of unlucky first-timers. They were a recurring feature for a large section of repeat participants, a pattern the regulator's own researchers have flagged as consistent with reactive, discretionary decision making rather than a defined, testable approach.