Rugby World Cup quarter final predictions

The Rugby World Cup Quarter Finals await us next weekend. The losers go home and the winners go through two glory games. The stakes and standards have just been raised to new levels. So who will win?

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Wales v Argentina

Saturday, 14 October

Wales’ progress comes at a price. No.8 Taulupe Faletau’s loss against Georgia has been compounded by Gareth Anscombe’s injury, which may keep him out of action just yet. They are both key players. But Warren Gatland and his team have a happy habit of acting when necessary. They have a fantastic track record of improving their level in the later stages of competition.

Gatland will remind them of the opportunities ahead of them. They have a very winning game for a place in the World Cup semi-finals. Midfielder Sam Costelow is inexperienced. He was making only his third start when he replaced Anscombe against Georgia. But I think he played smart and scored his goals well.

Argentina looked better against Japan in their last Group D game, but up until this point I thought they lacked cohesion and rhythm. This game, coming a day after Wales’ game against Georgia, won’t help them overall. It was a really tight match, with a lot of running open rugby in the hot Nantes conditions. I think it will be very difficult for them to ask for a transfer to Wales.

Ireland vs New Zealand

New Zealand is a very dangerous beast. They bounced back from their opening day defeat to France by scoring a total of 36 tries in victories over Namibia, Uruguay and Italy and showcasing their loose and smart rugby.

But in a top Test match against Ireland, who have never put a foot wrong in the tournament, more is needed. You have to be able to back up those moments of genius with relentless physicality and impeccable consistency, and I just don’t think the All Blacks have that equipment.

Scotland are a very good team. They came to Saturday’s match motivated. They discussed the possibility of defeating Ireland. But they couldn’t rely on them. Ireland’s dominance began in the front row with Andrew Porter, Dan Sheehan and Thad Furlong, but their entire forward group was formidable. Captain Peter O’Mahony has been a totem for them as he plays game after game. Harry Ringrose was also commanding in the centre.

And Ireland have a 16th player with fans at the Stade de France. They beat South Africa there two weeks ago, beat Scotland on Saturday and they play New Zealand there at the weekend. Paris became a home away from home with thousands of fans in the stands and streets. The team feeds off the fans, the fans feed off the team, and they have a very personal connection. Ireland have been too good for too long and had too much momentum for the All Blacks.

Rugby World Cup Quarter Finals England vs Fiji

Sunday, 15 October

This is a very close call. Fiji played better than England for most of the group stages. They finished well in the win over Australia, and in the opening weekend they potentially made a mistake in managing Paula Raddrana, missing out on a win against Wales. Portugal’s defeat in the last Group C match was less impressive, although by then I think they were already looking to England for the last eight.

Fiji reached the quarter-finals thanks to a landmark win over Twickenham less than two months ago. That result, and England’s tight win over Samoa in their own final pool stage game, showed Steve Borthwick’s side struggling with the ball movement and power that typifies the Islanders’ game.

England’s Path to Success in the Rugby World Cup Quarter finals

England need to play to their strengths and break through the set-piece before they spin the ball wider. For that you need George Ford calling the shots from the semi-finals onwards and I don’t think having Owen Farrell out there will help. Of course, they didn’t work well together against Samoa after some promising performances against Argentina and Japan in Farrell’s absence.

England have more experience in the Rugby World Cup play-offs with veterans from Japan’s 2019 campaign in the squad, but let’s not overstate the difference. Rugby fans can book Rugby World Cup Quarter Final Tickets on our website at exclusively discounted prices.

Fiji have Levani Botia, who has played in the last three Champions Cup finals. They have Joshua Tuisova, who played in the Olympic final. Half of their team plays rugby with major European clubs and are accustomed to playing high quality rugby every week. The other half is now experiencing some of the best rugby in the southern hemisphere thanks to Fijian team Drua’s involvement in Super Rugby.

They are tactically astute and disciplined in defense, while maintaining an edge in attack, even if some old inconsistencies remain. I think England’s forwards will almost take them home, but they will have to be a lot more crisp and clinical compared to the Samoa game.

France vs South Africa

Home versus home, I think this is the toughest game of the last eight games. The support of the native country speaks in favor of France. At times we wondered if the circumstances and expectations would prove too much for them, but head coach Fabien Galthie, team manager Rafael Ibanez and defense coach Sean Edwards appear capable of handling the pressure.

This is a brain trust of coaches who have been on the biggest stages and biggest games and know how to manage the build-up. We saw it on opening night when they beat New Zealand at the Stade de France, and we saw it when they completed the Grand Slam last year against England on the same stage.

We also saw this in Marseille last year when they beat South Africa 30-26 in a great game. France lost Antoine Dupont to a red card that day and still won. Dupont is still recovering from a facial fracture suffered against Namibia and may not be quite ready for the game. Any team will miss the best player in the world, but Maxim Luku, who entered the field at the age of nine, became an excellent backup.

South Africa has the tools to beat France. Their defense is so quick and they rebound the ball so hard that they can protect the scoring line and slow down France’s ball flow. But France have the threats to the entire team and the intelligence and composure to find them and dethrone the defending champions.

Beaumont hails special France atmosphere as spectacular pool phase ends

World Rugby chairman Sir Bill Beaumont hailed the 2023 Rugby World Cup as a sign of better friendship between France and rugby and promised to give unions more opportunities to close the gap in the competition.

Over the course of 40 matches, 20 teams played in nine stadiums across France, captivating crowds and winning hearts and minds as the country united behind the tournament. On the field, history was made as Chile made their debut, Portugal claimed their first win and Fiji reached their first quarter-final in 16 years to kick off the tournament.

Under the banner of rugby’s greatest celebration of unity, the world is participating in record numbers in stadiums, rugby villages, living rooms, cafes, bars and online. France Rugby World Cup 2023 has captured the imagination and warmed the hearts of this rugby-loving nation said Beaumont.

“With an average attendance of 47,000 across nine beautiful stadiums, more than a million fans living in rugby villages and an unprecedented social presence of almost one billion fans, this will be a social Rugby World Cup.”

France’s Pool A final match against Italy attracted 13 million viewers on French television channel TF1, peaking at 14.5 million, representing the broadcaster’s second-largest audience of the year, just behind Les Bleus’s opening match against New Zealand.

A Thriving Rugby World Cup Quarter Finals and a Pledge of Inclusion

Notably, the French rugby audience is the country’s largest since they last hosted the tournament in 2007. Meanwhile, Beaumont reiterated his pledge to give trade unions greater confidence and the ability to be more competitive on the world stage, saying the sport was united in a bid to open the door to a new dawn.

At this stage of the competition we say goodbye to 12 teams, said Beaumont. I want to assure everyone that they like Portugal. Samoa, Tonga, Uruguay, Chile and Georgia may have disappeared, but they are certainly not forgotten.

“We must and will do everything possible to provide greater confidence and the opportunity for regular high-level competition for these teams. They are central to our discussions on a revamped international calendar that will benefit the many rather than the few. This will in turn enable us to come to the 2031 Rugby World Cup in the USA with a truly competitive and unpredictable Rugby World Cup that is great for fans, broadcasters and commercial partners.”

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